With the cases not coming to a full stop, people are merely losing all hope. As a matter of fact, a lot of people from all around the globe get startled; they panic even if it’s not their country topping the list. They’re panicking because of the continuous outburst of the pandemic and it’s not a joke.
It’s end is nowhere near, so we say — or is it? How do we see its end? Would you believe that a Singaporean A.I. predicted the end of COVID-19 pandemic in countries? And would you believe that we’re closer to that date than what we think of?
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Who knew that the complexity of an A.I. would give us a glimmer of hope in flattening the curve? The Singaporean A.I. predicted the end of COVID-19 and it was a creation of the Singapore University of Technology and Design (SUTD).
Their model predicted the end of the COVID-19 cases in various countries from all around the globe. They captured data from Our World in Data to help their A.I. get to work. Some of the info they got from it were:
- The total number of confirmed cases
- New confirmed cases
- Total deaths
- New deaths
- Recovery Rate
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With these data at hand, they were able to find a projection of when the infections will stop. More so, they had specific dates on when the cases will end.
End of COVID-19 in the Philippines
This is what we all have been waiting for; well technically, the date that the Singaporean A.I. predicted for the end of the pandemic in our country is on the 8th of July, 2020. It is a few months from now and it’s something we did not expect.
As per hearsay and rumors about the pandemic, it’ll most likely have a toll in people’s health until 2021. Technically, we wouldn’t have any type of cure or treatment to help in the flattening of the curve.
But as the Singaporean A.I. predicted the end of COVID-19 in the Philippines, we’re actually a few months from it.
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The model and predictions
In the image below, the graph shows the following results:
- 97% of cases to end;
- 99% of cases to end; and
- 100% of cases
On May 12, 2020, it’s expected that about 97% of the cases are to end. It climbs up to 99% on May 23rd, and finally 100% on the 8th of July.
Mashable writers said that because of incomplete data, the A.I. finds it hard to detect. Nevertheless, it saw a prediction to end at least on the 8th of July 2020.
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[the] Philippines’ projection seems to be all over the place, which could be due to incomplete data provided by the country. But the algorithm expects the virus to end on July 8.”
Other South East Asian countries
In addition to our prediction, other countries were given theirs, too. In fact, the Singaporean A.I. predicted the end of COVID-19 in their country around June 10th; Vietnam should see full growth and restoration on May 14th as they’re one of the least-hit countries.
Indonesia is seeing a start of the recovery on the 30th of July — because they’re one of the hardest-hit countries in the region.
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The good thing about this A.I. is that it’s just not specific to the Southeast; it also helped predict other countries in the world, too. Take Italy, for instance, as per the A.I. Italy will see the start of their new tomorrow at the 4th of June, 2020.
To conclude, based on the data that the A.I. gathered and studied, the entire globe would see a relief from this massive outbreak on the 2nd of December, 2020. Meaning, the pandemic would drive in certain parts of the planet all-year round.
But for us here in the country, it’s a few months from now.
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Could we trust the the algorithms of a computers based on data? Would this be effective? Now that the Singaporean A.I. predicted the end of COVID-19; were you satisfied with the results? Or are you expecting something more?
The study, though, says that this is solely based-off of theoretical results and analysis. Moreover, all of these were strictly based on data. There’s not a proof that it would end on these dates; and hopefully, it’s shorter and faster than what it says.
You can access the document or the study from SUTD here: Predictive Monitoring of COVID-19 (Jianxi Luo).